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Benchmarking Political Persuasion Risks Across Frontier Large Language Models

arXiv cs.CL / 3/11/2026

Ideas & Deep AnalysisModels & Research

Key Points

  • The study evaluates the political persuasion capabilities of seven frontier Large Language Models (LLMs) from Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and xAI using two large-scale survey experiments involving over 19,000 participants.
  • Results show that these LLMs generally outperform standard political campaign advertisements in persuading individuals, with significant variation in effectiveness across different models; Claude models are the most persuasive while Grok is the least.
  • The impact of information-based prompts on persuasion is model-dependent: they enhance persuasion for Claude and Grok but reduce it significantly for GPT models.
  • The researchers develop a novel data-driven, model-agnostic conversation analysis method to identify and evaluate the persuasive strategies utilized by LLMs.
  • This work benchmarks political persuasion risks associated with frontier LLMs and offers a comparative risk assessment framework applicable across multiple models.

Computer Science > Computation and Language

arXiv:2603.09884 (cs)
[Submitted on 10 Mar 2026]

Title:Benchmarking Political Persuasion Risks Across Frontier Large Language Models

View a PDF of the paper titled Benchmarking Political Persuasion Risks Across Frontier Large Language Models, by Zhongren Chen and 2 other authors
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Abstract:Concerns persist regarding the capacity of Large Language Models (LLMs) to sway political views. Although prior research has claimed that LLMs are not more persuasive than standard political campaign practices, the recent rise of frontier models warrants further study. In two survey experiments (N=19,145) across bipartisan issues and stances, we evaluate seven state-of-the-art LLMs developed by Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and xAI. We find that LLMs outperform standard campaign advertisements, with heterogeneity in performance across models. Specifically, Claude models exhibit the highest persuasiveness, while Grok exhibits the lowest. The results are robust across issues and stances. Moreover, in contrast to the findings in Hackenburg et al. (2025b) and Lin et al. (2025) that information-based prompts boost persuasiveness, we find that the effectiveness of information-based prompts is model-dependent: they increase the persuasiveness of Claude and Grok while substantially reducing that of GPT. We introduce a data-driven and strategy-agnostic LLM-assisted conversation analysis approach to identify and assess underlying persuasive strategies. Our work benchmarks the persuasive risks of frontier models and provides a framework for cross-model comparative risk assessment.
Subjects: Computation and Language (cs.CL); Computers and Society (cs.CY)
Cite as: arXiv:2603.09884 [cs.CL]
  (or arXiv:2603.09884v1 [cs.CL] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2603.09884
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arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Submission history

From: Joshua Kalla [view email]
[v1] Tue, 10 Mar 2026 16:42:05 UTC (662 KB)
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