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Behavioral Fingerprints for LLM Endpoint Stability and Identity

arXiv cs.AI / 3/20/2026

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Key Points

  • The Stability Monitor is a black-box system that fingerprints an LLM endpoint by sampling outputs from a fixed prompt set to monitor behavioral stability over time.
  • It compares output distributions with a summed energy distance statistic across prompts and uses permutation-test p-values aggregated over time to detect change events and define stability periods.
  • Controlled validation shows it can detect changes across model family, version, inference stack, quantization, and behavioral parameters.
  • Real-world monitoring across multiple providers reveals substantial provider-to-provider and within-provider stability differences, highlighting practical implications for multi-provider deployments.

Abstract

The consistency of AI-native applications depends on the behavioral consistency of the model endpoints that power them. Traditional reliability metrics such as uptime, latency and throughput do not capture behavioral change, and an endpoint can remain "healthy" while its effective model identity changes due to updates to weights, tokenizers, quantization, inference engines, kernels, caching, routing, or hardware. We introduce Stability Monitor, a black-box stability monitoring system that periodically fingerprints an endpoint by sampling outputs from a fixed prompt set and comparing the resulting output distributions over time. Fingerprints are compared using a summed energy distance statistic across prompts, with permutation-test p-values as evidence of distribution shift aggregated sequentially to detect change events and define stability periods. In controlled validation, Stability Monitor detects changes to model family, version, inference stack, quantization, and behavioral parameters. In real-world monitoring of the same model hosted by multiple providers, we observe substantial provider-to-provider and within-provider stability differences.