ICE: Intervention-Consistent Explanation Evaluation with Statistical Grounding for LLMs

Abstract

Evaluating whether explanations faithfully reflect a model's reasoning remains an open problem. Existing benchmarks use single interventions without statistical testing, making it impossible to distinguish genuine faithfulness from chance-level performance. We introduce ICE (Intervention-Consistent Explanation), a framework that compares explanations against matched random baselines via randomization tests under multiple intervention operators, yielding win rates with confidence intervals. Evaluating 7 LLMs across 4 English tasks, 6 non-English languages, and 2 attribution methods, we find that faithfulness is operator-dependent: operator gaps reach up to 44 percentage points, with deletion typically inflating estimates on short text but the pattern reversing on long text, suggesting that faithfulness should be interpreted comparatively across intervention operators rather than as a single score. Randomized baselines reveal anti-faithfulness in one-third of configurations, and faithfulness shows zero correlation with human plausibility (|r| < 0.04). Multilingual evaluation reveals dramatic model-language interactions not explained by tokenization alone. We release the ICE framework and ICEBench benchmark.