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RADIUS: Ranking, Distribution, and Significance - A Comprehensive Alignment Suite for Survey Simulation

arXiv cs.CL / 3/20/2026

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Key Points

  • RADIUS is a new two-dimensional alignment suite for evaluating survey simulations with LLMs, focusing on ranking alignment and distribution alignment, plus significance testing.
  • It addresses the shortcomings of prior metrics that emphasize accuracy or distribution alone and can miss which option humans actually prefer.
  • The framework includes an open-source implementation to enable reproducible and comparable assessment across studies.
  • By combining ranking and distribution perspectives, RADIUS enables more meaningful evaluation for decision-making applications that depend on human preferences.
  • The work aims to standardize survey-simulation evaluation and could influence future benchmarking in AI-assisted survey generation.

Abstract

Simulation of surveys using LLMs is emerging as a powerful application for generating human-like responses at scale. Prior work evaluates survey simulation using metrics borrowed from other domains, which are often ad hoc, fragmented, and non-standardized, leading to results that are difficult to compare. Moreover, existing metrics focus mainly on accuracy or distributional measures, overlooking the critical dimension of ranking alignment. In practice, a simulation can achieve high accuracy while still failing to capture the option most preferred by humans - a distinction that is critical in decision-making applications. We introduce RADIUS, a comprehensive two-dimensional alignment suite for survey simulation that captures: 1) RAnking alignment and 2) DIstribUtion alignment, each complemented by statistical Significance testing. RADIUS highlights the limitations of existing metrics, enables more meaningful evaluation of survey simulation, and provides an open-source implementation for reproducible and comparable assessment.