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Effective Dataset Distillation for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting with Bi-dimensional Compression

arXiv cs.LG / 3/12/2026

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Key Points

  • STemDist is introduced as the first dataset distillation method specifically designed for spatio-temporal time series forecasting, addressing the limitation of prior methods that compressed only a single dimension.
  • The method balances compression across both temporal and spatial dimensions and uses cluster-level distillation combined with a subset-based granular distillation to maintain forecasting performance while reducing cost.
  • Evaluation on five real-world datasets shows that models trained on distilled data can be faster (up to 6x), more memory-efficient (up to 8x), and achieve lower prediction error (up to 12%).
  • By enabling faster, cheaper training for large spatio-temporal models, STemDist could make large-scale forecasting workflows more practical in real-world applications like traffic and weather.
  • The paper provides empirical evidence that distillation can outperform general and time-series-specific distillation methods in this domain.

Abstract

Spatio-temporal time series are widely used in real-world applications, including traffic prediction and weather forecasting. They are sequences of observations over extensive periods and multiple locations, naturally represented as multidimensional data. Forecasting is a central task in spatio-temporal analysis, and numerous deep learning methods have been developed to address it. However, as dataset sizes and model complexities continue to grow in practice, training deep learning models has become increasingly time- and resource-intensive. A promising solution to this challenge is dataset distillation, which synthesizes compact datasets that can effectively replace the original data for model training. Although successful in various domains, including time series analysis, existing dataset distillation methods compress only one dimension, making them less suitable for spatio-temporal datasets, where both spatial and temporal dimensions jointly contribute to the large data volume. To address this limitation, we propose STemDist, the first dataset distillation method specialized for spatio-temporal time series forecasting. A key idea of our solution is to compress both temporal and spatial dimensions in a balanced manner, reducing training time and memory. We further reduce the distillation cost by performing distillation at the cluster level rather than the individual location level, and we complement this coarse-grained approach with a subset-based granular distillation technique that enhances forecasting performance. On five real-world datasets, we show empirically that, compared to both general and time-series dataset distillation methods, datasets distilled by our STemDist method enable model training (1) faster (up to 6X) (2) more memory-efficient (up to 8X), and (3) more effective (with up to 12% lower prediction error).