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A Learning-Based Superposition Operator for Non-Renewal Arrival Processes in Queueing Networks

arXiv cs.LG / 3/13/2026

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Key Points

  • The paper introduces a scalable data-driven superposition operator that maps low-order moments and autocorrelation descriptors from multiple arrival streams to those of their merged process.
  • The operator is a deep learning model trained on synthetically generated Markovian Arrival Processes (MAPs), leveraging exact superposition in MAPs to learn a compact representation of the aggregate stream.
  • It reconstructs the first five moments and short-range dependence of the aggregated stream with uniformly low prediction errors across diverse variability and correlation regimes, outperforming renewal-based approximations.
  • When integrated with learning-based modules for departure processes and steady-state analysis, the operator enables decomposition-based evaluation of feed-forward queueing networks with merging flows.
  • The framework provides a scalable alternative to traditional analytical approaches while preserving higher-order variability and dependence necessary for accurate distributional performance analysis.

Abstract

The superposition of arrival processes is a fundamental yet analytically intractable operation in queueing networks when inputs are general non-renewal streams. Classical methods either reduce merged flows to renewal surrogates, rely on computationally prohibitive Markovian representations, or focus solely on mean-value performance measures. We propose a scalable data-driven superposition operator that maps low-order moments and autocorrelation descriptors of multiple arrival streams to those of their merged process. The operator is a deep learning model trained on synthetically generated Markovian Arrival Processes (MAPs), for which exact superposition is available, and learns a compact representation that accurately reconstructs the first five moments and short-range dependence structure of the aggregate stream. Extensive computational experiments demonstrate uniformly low prediction errors across heterogeneous variability and correlation regimes, substantially outperforming classical renewal-based approximations. When integrated with learning-based modules for departure-process and steady-state analysis, the proposed operator enables decomposition-based evaluation of feed-forward queueing networks with merging flows. The framework provides a scalable alternative to traditional analytical approaches while preserving higher-order variability and dependence information required for accurate distributional performance analysis.