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From the Inside Out: Progressive Distribution Refinement for Confidence Calibration

arXiv cs.LG / 3/18/2026

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Key Points

  • The paper introduces DistriTTRL, a reinforcement learning framework that uses the model's confidence distribution as a progressive self-reward signal rather than relying on single-query rollouts.
  • It addresses the test-time training discrepancy between training and test conditions and mitigates reward hacking in voting-based test-time strategies via diversity-targeted penalties.
  • By combining distribution priors of confidence with self-reward signals, DistriTTRL achieves significant performance improvements across multiple models and benchmarks.
  • The work advances confidence calibration in RL and may influence future research and deployment of calibrated AI systems.

Abstract

Leveraging the model's internal information as the self-reward signal in Reinforcement Learning (RL) has received extensive attention due to its label-free nature. While prior works have made significant progress in applying the Test-Time Scaling (TTS) strategies to RL, the discrepancy in internal information between test and training remains inadequately addressed. Moreover, Test-Time Training based on voting-based TTS strategies often suffers from reward hacking problems. To address these issues, we propose DistriTTRL, which leverages the distribution prior of the model's confidence during RL to progressively optimize the reward signal, rather than relying solely on single-query rollouts. Additionally, we mitigate the phenomenon of consistent reward hacking caused by the voting-based TTS strategies through diversity-targeted penalties. Benefiting from this training mechanism where model capability and self-reward signals complement each other, and the mitigation of reward hacking, DistriTTRL has achieved significant performance improvements across multiple models and benchmarks.