Flexible Deep Neural Networks for Partially Linear Survival Data: Estimation and Survival Inference

arXiv stat.ML / 4/28/2026

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Key Points

  • The paper introduces FLEXI-Haz, a flexible deep neural network framework for survival data that combines a partially linear structure: an interpretable parametric linear term for key covariates and a nonparametric DNN term for complex interactions involving nuisance variables.
  • Unlike prior DNN methods for partially linear Cox models, FLEXI-Haz avoids the proportional hazards assumption, targeting more general survival dynamics.
  • The authors provide theoretical results showing minimax-optimal convergence for the neural network component (over composite H"older classes) and sqrt-n-consistency, asymptotic normality, and semiparametric efficiency for the linear estimator.
  • They further develop a cross-fitted one-step estimator for a new subject’s cumulative hazard and survival function, along with pointwise asymptotic confidence intervals, claiming a first frequentist pointwise inference result for survival functions in DNN survival models.
  • Simulation studies and real-data analyses support FLEXI-Haz as an interpretable, principled alternative to proportional-hazards-based approaches.

Abstract

We propose a flexible deep neural network (DNN) framework for modeling survival data within a partially linear regression structure. The approach preserves interpretability through a parametric linear component for covariates of primary interest, while a nonparametric DNN component captures complex time-covariate interactions among nuisance variables. We refer to the method as FLEXI-Haz, a FLEXIble Hazard model with a partially linear structure. In contrast to existing DNN approaches for partially linear Cox models, FLEXI-Haz does not rely on the proportional hazards assumption. We establish theoretical guarantees: the neural network component attains minimax-optimal convergence rates over composite H\"older classes, the linear estimator is sqrt-n-consistent, asymptotically normal, and semiparametrically efficient, and we develop a cross-fitted one-step estimator of the cumulative hazard and survival function for a new subject, together with pointwise asymptotic confidence intervals. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first frequentist asymptotic pointwise inference result for a survival function in a DNN survival model, with or without a linear component. Simulations and real-data analyses demonstrate the utility of FLEXI-Haz as a principled and interpretable alternative to methods based on proportional hazards.