Predicting Power-System Dynamic Trajectories with Foundation Models

arXiv cs.AI / 4/17/2026

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Key Points

  • The paper argues that as power grids become more renewable-rich and inverter-dominated, fast and accurate time-domain dynamic analysis is essential for tasks like transient stability, security assessment, contingency screening, and post-fault evaluation.
  • It proposes LASS-ODE-Power, a general-purpose time-domain trajectory prediction framework that uses foundation-model-style large-scale pretraining on 40GB+ of DAE/ODE trajectories to learn transferable representations.
  • The approach aims to overcome limits of prior learning methods that are trained per specific system, by enabling predictions across different dynamic regimes (electromechanical and inverter-driven) from short measurement prefixes in a zero-shot manner.
  • It addresses practical deployment needs by including parallel and linearized computation for fast online inference, while also providing a ~1GB heterogeneous dataset fine-tuning strategy to improve power-system-specific performance.
  • Experiments across multiple simulation scenarios show LASS-ODE-Power achieves better trajectory prediction accuracy than existing learning-based models while maintaining efficient inference speed.

Abstract

As power systems transition toward renewable-rich and inverter-dominated operations, accurate time-domain dynamic analysis becomes increasingly critical. Such analysis supports key operational tasks, including transient stability assessment, dynamic security analysis, contingency screening, and post-fault trajectory evaluation. In practice, these tasks may operate under several challenges, including unknown and time-varying system parameters, privacy constraints on data sharing, and the need for fast online inference. Existing learning-based approaches are typically trained for individual systems and therefore lack generalization across operating conditions and physical parameters. Hence, this paper proposes LArge Scale Small ODE (LASS)-ODE-Power, a learning framework for general-purpose time-domain prediction. The proposed approach leverages large-scale pretraining on more than 40 GB of DAE or ordinary differential-equation (ODE) trajectories to learn transferable representations. The resulting model supports trajectory prediction from short measurement prefixes across diverse dynamic regimes, including electromechanical and inverter-driven systems. Hence, the model can be directly used without data sharing in a zero-shot setting. In addition, the proposed architecture incorporates parallel and linearized computation to achieve fast inference. Moreover, to enhance task-specific performance in power systems, a specialized fine-tuning strategy is developed based on approximately 1 GB of heterogeneous power-system dynamic data. Extensive experiments over diverse power-system simulation scenarios demonstrate that LASS-ODE-Power consistently outperforms existing learning-based models in trajectory prediction accuracy with efficient inference.