M3R: Localized Rainfall Nowcasting with Meteorology-Informed MultiModal Attention

arXiv cs.LG / 4/20/2026

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Key Points

  • The paper introduces M3R, a meteorology-informed multimodal attention architecture for more accurate rainfall nowcasting by directly predicting precipitation.
  • M3R combines visual NEXRAD radar imagery with numerical Personal Weather Station (PWS) sensor measurements, using a pipeline to temporally align heterogeneous weather data.
  • It uses specialized multimodal attention where PWS time-series act as queries to selectively attend to spatial radar features to extract precipitation-relevant signatures.
  • Experiments on three 100 km × 100 km regions around NEXRAD stations show M3R outperforms prior methods with improvements in accuracy, efficiency, and precipitation detection.
  • The authors provide code and position the work as establishing new benchmarks and practical tooling for operational weather prediction systems.

Abstract

Accurate and timely rainfall nowcasting is crucial for disaster mitigation and water resource management. Despite recent advances in deep learning, precipitation prediction remains challenging due to limitations in effectively leveraging diverse multimedia data sources. We introduce M3R, a Meteorology-informed MultiModal attention-based architecture for direct Rainfall prediction that synergistically combines visual NEXRAD radar imagery with numerical Personal Weather Station (PWS) measurements, using a comprehensive pipeline for temporal alignment of heterogeneous meteorological data. With specialized multimodal attention mechanisms, M3R novelly leverages weather station time series as queries to selectively attend to spatial radar features, enabling focused extraction of precipitation signatures. Experimental results for three spatial areas of 100 km * 100 km centered at NEXRAD radar stations demonstrate that M3R outperforms existing approaches, achieving substantial improvements in accuracy, efficiency, and precipitation detection capabilities. Our work establishes new benchmarks for multimedia-based precipitation nowcasting and provides practical tools for operational weather prediction systems. The source code is available at https://github.com/Sanjeev97/M3Rain