CC-VPSTO: Chance-Constrained Via-Point-Based Stochastic Trajectory Optimisation for Online Robot Motion Planning under Uncertainty

Abstract

Reliable robot autonomy hinges on decision-making systems that account for uncertainty without imposing overly conservative restrictions on the robot's action space. We introduce Chance-Constrained Via-Point-Based Stochastic Trajectory Optimisation (CC-VPSTO), a real-time capable framework for generating task-efficient robot trajectories that satisfy constraints with high probability by formulating stochastic control as a chance-constrained optimisation problem. Since such problems are generally intractable, we propose a deterministic surrogate formulation based on Monte Carlo sampling, solved efficiently with gradient-free optimisation. To address bias in na\"ive sampling approaches, we quantify approximation error and introduce padding strategies to improve reliability. We focus on three challenges: (i) sample-efficient constraint approximation, (ii) conditions for surrogate solution validity, and (iii) online optimisation. Integrated into a receding-horizon MPC framework, CC-VPSTO enables reactive, task-efficient control under uncertainty, balancing constraint satisfaction and performance in a principled manner. The strengths of our approach lie in its generality, i.e. no assumptions on the underlying uncertainty distribution, system dynamics, cost function, or the form of inequality constraints; and its applicability to online robot motion planning. We demonstrate the validity and efficiency of our approach in both simulation and on a Franka Emika robot.