IPatch: A Multi-Resolution Transformer Architecture for Robust Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv cs.LG / 3/26/2026

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Key Points

  • The paper introduces IPatch, a multi-resolution Transformer architecture for multivariate time-series forecasting that combines both point-wise and patch-wise temporal tokens.
  • It addresses a key tradeoff in Transformer forecasting: point-wise inputs preserve fine-grained dynamics but are computationally expensive, while patch-wise inputs are efficient but can lose crucial temporal detail.
  • IPatch models temporal information at multiple resolutions simultaneously to capture both short-term fluctuations and long-range dependencies more effectively.
  • Experiments on seven benchmark datasets show consistent improvements in forecasting accuracy, noise robustness, and generalization across different prediction horizons versus single-representation baselines.
  • The work is positioned as a scalable approach that improves reliability on volatile/complex time series where representation choice strongly affects performance.

Abstract

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series remains challenging due to the need to capture both short-term fluctuations and long-range temporal dependencies. Transformer-based models have emerged as a powerful approach, but their performance depends critically on the representation of temporal data. Traditional point-wise representations preserve individual time-step information, enabling fine-grained modeling, yet they tend to be computationally expensive and less effective at modeling broader contextual dependencies, limiting their scalability to long sequences. Patch-wise representations aggregate consecutive steps into compact tokens to improve efficiency and model local temporal dynamics, but they often discard fine-grained temporal details that are critical for accurate predictions in volatile or complex time series. We propose IPatch, a multi-resolution Transformer architecture that integrates both point-wise and patch-wise tokens, modeling temporal information at multiple resolutions. Experiments on 7 benchmark datasets demonstrate that IPatch consistently improves forecasting accuracy, robustness to noise, and generalization across various prediction horizons compared to single-representation baselines.