Property-Level Flood Risk Assessment Using AI-Enabled Street-View Lowest Floor Elevation Extraction and ML Imputation Across Texas

arXiv cs.LG / 4/2/2026

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Key Points

  • The paper presents an end-to-end AI pipeline that uses Google Street View imagery to extract building-specific lowest floor elevation (LFE) and the height difference between street grade and the lowest floor (HDSL) for flood risk assessment at regional scale in Texas.
  • It couples the street-view extraction approach (via Elev-Vision) with performance-gated machine-learning imputation (Random Forest and Gradient Boosting) using terrain, hydrologic, geographic, and flood-exposure features to fill missing HDSL values.
  • The method integrates the resulting elevation estimates with Fathom 1-in-100 year inundation surfaces and USACE depth-damage functions to compute interior flood depth and expected loss at the property level.
  • Results across 18 Texas areas of interest show street-view availability for 73.4% of parcels and direct LFE/HDSL extraction for 49.0% of structures, with imputation applied only to AOIs where cross-validated performance met defensible thresholds and some AOIs excluded when accuracy was insufficient.
  • The authors argue the approach improves regional flood-risk characterization by moving from hazard/exposure mapping to structure-level interior inundation and damage estimates, enabling replication by jurisdictions lacking comprehensive Elevation Certificates.

Abstract

This paper argues that AI-enabled analysis of street-view imagery, complemented by performance-gated machine-learning imputation, provides a viable pathway for generating building-specific elevation data at regional scale for flood risk assessment. We develop and apply a three-stage pipeline across 18 areas of interest (AOIs) in Texas that (1) extracts LFE and the height difference between street grade and the lowest floor (HDSL) from Google Street View imagery using the Elev-Vision framework, (2) imputes missing HDSL values with Random Forest and Gradient Boosting models trained on 16 terrain, hydrologic, geographic, and flood-exposure features, and (3) integrates the resulting elevation dataset with Fathom 1-in-100 year inundation surfaces and USACE depth-damage functions to estimate property-specific interior flood depth and expected loss. Across 12,241 residential structures, street-view imagery was available for 73.4% of parcels and direct LFE/HDSL extraction was successful for 49.0% (5,992 structures). Imputation was retained for 13 AOIs where cross-validated performance was defensible, with selected models achieving R suqre values from 0.159 to 0.974; five AOIs were explicitly excluded from prediction because performance was insufficient. The results show that street-view-based elevation mapping is not universally available for every property, but it is sufficiently scalable to materially improve regional flood-risk characterization by moving beyond hazard exposure to structure-level estimates of interior inundation and expected damage. Scientifically, the study advances LFE estimation from a pilot-scale proof of concept to a regional, end-to-end workflow. Practically, it offers a replicable framework for jurisdictions that lack comprehensive Elevation Certificates but need parcel-level information to support mitigation, planning, and flood-risk management.