Real-Time Surrogate Modeling for Personalized Blood Flow Prediction and Hemodynamic Analysis

arXiv cs.LG / 4/6/2026

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Key Points

  • The paper proposes a systematic ML framework for real-time (instantaneous) prediction of patient-specific hemodynamics and estimation of difficult-to-measure vascular parameters like terminal resistance/compliance.
  • It uses a parametric virtual cohort generated from multivariate correlations in the Asklepios clinical dataset to preserve realistic physiological parameter distributions and avoid invalid simulations.
  • A deep neural surrogate model predicts arterial pressure and cardiac output to enable immediate screening and rejection of non-physiological input parameter combinations, reducing the cost of generating large synthetic cohorts.
  • The authors also use the surrogate to guide principled sampling of terminal resistance to minimize uncertainties for unmeasurable parameters and to study the information needed to solve the inverse problem for cardiac output estimation.
  • They demonstrate the approach by applying the surrogate to clinical data to estimate central aortic hemodynamics, including cardiac output and central systolic blood pressure.

Abstract

Cardiovascular modeling has rapidly advanced over the past few decades due to the rising needs for health tracking and early detection of cardiovascular diseases. While 1-D arterial models offer an attractive compromise between computational efficiency and solution fidelity, their application on large populations or for generating large \emph{in silico} cohorts remains challenging. Certain hemodynamic parameters like the terminal resistance/compliance, are difficult to clinically estimate and often yield non-physiological hemodynamics when sampled naively, resulting in large portions of simulated datasets to be discarded. In this work, we present a systematic framework for training machine learning (ML) models, capable of instantaneous hemodynamic prediction and parameter estimation. We initially start with generating a parametric virtual cohort of patients which is based on the multivariate correlations observed in the large Asklepios clinical dataset, ensuring that physiological parameter distributions are respected. We then train a deep neural surrogate model, able to predict patient-specific arterial pressure and cardiac output (CO), enabling rapid a~priori screening of input parameters. This allows for immediate rejection of non-physiological combinations and drastically reduces the cost of targeted synthetic dataset generation (e.g. hypertensive groups). The model also provides a principled means of sampling the terminal resistance to minimize the uncertainties of unmeasurable parameters. Moreover, by assessing the model's predictive performance we determine the theoretical information which suffices for solving the inverse problem of estimating the CO. Finally, we apply the surrogate on a clinical dataset for the estimation of central aortic hemodynamics i.e. the CO and aortic systolic blood pressure (cSBP).