Introducing the O-Value: A Universal Standardization for Confusion-Matrix-Based Classification Performance Metrics

arXiv stat.ML / 4/21/2026

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Key Points

  • The paper proposes the outperformance standardization (OPS) function, which standardizes confusion-matrix-based classification performance metrics onto a common scale of [0,1].
  • The standardized output, called the o-value, is defined as the percentile rank of the observed performance relative to a reference distribution of possible performances.
  • By converting metrics to a unified interpretation, the method aims to make evaluation and monitoring more comparable across test sets with different class imbalance rates.
  • The authors demonstrate the approach by applying o-values to multiple commonly used classification metrics and validating its usefulness and robustness via experiments on real-world datasets across several application types.

Abstract

Many classification performance metrics exist, each suited to a specific application. However, these metrics often differ in scale and can exhibit varying sensitivity to class imbalance rates in the test set. As a result, it is difficult to use the nominal values of these metrics to evaluate, compare and monitor classification performances, especially when imbalance rates vary. To address this problem, we introduce the outperformance standardization (OPS) function, a universal standardization method for confusion-matrix-based classification performance (CMBCP) metrics. It maps any given metric to a common scale of [0,1], while providing a clear and consistent interpretation. Specifically, the resulting OPS value (o-value) represents the percentile rank of the observed classification performance within a reference distribution of possible performances. This unified framework enables meaningful comparison and monitoring of classification performance across test sets with differing imbalance rates. We illustrate how o-values can be applied to a variety of commonly used classification performance metrics and demonstrate the utility and robustness of our method through experiments on real-world datasets spanning multiple classification applications.