Bridging the Gap Between Climate Science and Machine Learning in Climate Model Emulation

arXiv cs.LG / 3/25/2026

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Key Points

  • The paper addresses the challenge of using climate model emulators with machine learning, noting that computational and technical burdens limit traditional climate model runs.
  • It argues that adoption is hindered by both practical barriers (e.g., limited access, lack of specialized expertise) and scientific skepticism that ML approaches may not be sufficiently physical.
  • The authors propose a framework that explicitly integrates climate science and ML perspectives to make emulator development easier and more aligned with climate-model goals.
  • They emphasize that reliable performance and clear task definition are key to building emulators that can effectively bridge the gap between the two communities.

Abstract

While climate models provide insights for climate decision-making, their use is constrained by significant computational and technical demands. Although machine learning (ML) emulators offer a way to bypass the high computational costs, their effective use remains challenging. The hurdles are diverse, ranging from limited accessibility and a lack of specialized knowledge to a general mistrust of ML methods that are perceived as insufficiently physical. Here, we introduce a framework to overcome these barriers by integrating both climate science and machine learning perspectives. We find that designing easy-to-adopt emulators that address a clearly defined task and demonstrating their reliability offers a promising path for bridging the gap between our two fields.