US programmer job growth nearly halved since ChatGPT launched, Fed study finds

THE DECODER / 4/25/2026

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Key Points

The Federal Reserve Board study finds that generative AI—especially ChatGPT—has measurably affected employment trends for U.S. programmers.
Programmer job growth nearly halved after ChatGPT’s launch, indicating a significant shift in labor demand for this professional group.
The findings suggest that generative AI is changing the day-to-day work of programmers and may be altering hiring and growth patterns.
The study provides early empirical evidence linking LLM-driven productivity changes to real-world employment statistics.

Collage of laptop, circuit boards, code fragments and data charts symbolizing data flow and AI-supported analyses.

Programmers are among the professional groups whose everyday lives have changed the most as a result of generative AI. A new study by the Federal Reserve Board now provides evidence that this is also reflected in employment figures.

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