Mitigating Premature Exploitation in Particle-based Monte Carlo for Inference-Time Scaling
arXiv stat.ML / 3/31/2026
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Key Points
- The paper studies why Particle Filtering (PF) used for Inference-Time Scaling can fail via premature exploitation when reward models are overconfident early, leading to particle impoverishment and suboptimal convergence under tight compute budgets.
- It identifies two root causes—loss of particle-set diversity from overconfident resampling and resulting inability to properly evaluate the future potential of reasoning paths.
- The proposed Entropic Particle Filtering (ePF) addresses this with Entropic Annealing (EA), which monitors search diversity via entropy and dynamically anneals the resampling distribution to preserve exploration.
- ePF further improves decision quality using Look-ahead Modulation (LaM), which adds a predictive guide to estimate a state’s potential from its successors.
- Experiments on difficult math benchmarks show ePF delivers strong gains, including up to ~50% relative improvement in task reward over competitive baselines.
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