Tube strikes make people healthier. The maths proves it [D]

Reddit r/MachineLearning / 5/2/2026

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Key Points

  • The article argues that London Tube strikes changed commuting patterns, leading some people to cycle instead of use public transport.
  • It uses causal inference techniques to estimate the impact of those strike-induced behavior changes on cycling usage.
  • By applying statistical reasoning to the strike timeline, it attempts to separate the effect of strikes from other confounding factors.
  • The overall conclusion is that the observed shift toward cycling during strikes is associated with improved health outcomes.
  • The piece is presented as a data-driven “proof” based on a quantitative analysis rather than a purely observational claim.