PAWN: Piece Value Analysis with Neural Networks

arXiv cs.AI / 4/20/2026

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Key Points

  • The paper tackles an open problem in chess: predicting a piece’s relative value based on how it relates spatially to all other pieces on the board.
  • It proposes using CNN-based autoencoder latent representations of the full board state as context, feeding these into MLP-based piece value prediction models.
  • Trained on a dataset of 12+ million piece-value pairs from grandmaster games with Stockfish 17-generated labels, the approach markedly improves prediction quality.
  • The enhanced model reduces validation mean absolute error by 16% versus context-independent MLP baselines and achieves relative piece value estimates within about 0.65 pawns.
  • More broadly, the results indicate that representing the entire state of a complex system can provide useful inductive bias for predicting an individual component’s contribution.

Abstract

Predicting the relative value of any given chess piece in a position remains an open challenge, as a piece's contribution depends on its spatial relationships with every other piece on the board. We demonstrate that incorporating the state of the full chess board via latent position representations derived using a CNN-based autoencoder significantly improves accuracy for MLP-based piece value prediction architectures. Using a dataset of over 12 million piece-value pairs gathered from Grandmaster-level games, with ground-truth labels generated by Stockfish 17, our enhanced piece value predictor significantly outperforms context-independent MLP-based systems, reducing validation mean absolute error by 16% and predicting relative piece value within approximately 0.65 pawns. More generally, our findings suggest that encoding the full problem state as context provides useful inductive bias for predicting the contribution of any individual component.