E-Scores for (In)Correctness Assessment of Generative Model Outputs
arXiv stat.ML / 4/2/2026
💬 OpinionIdeas & Deep AnalysisModels & Research
Key Points
- The paper argues that assessing the correctness of generative model (especially LLM) outputs lacks strong, principled mechanisms despite widespread use.
- It critiques prior conformal-prediction approaches that rely on p-values because post-hoc selection of tolerance can enable p-hacking and undermine theoretical guarantees.
- The authors propose using the conformal prediction framework with e-values to generate e-scores that quantify incorrectness while retaining error guarantees.
- e-scores are designed to allow users to set tolerance levels in a data-dependent way, and to provide an additional bound on size distortion as a post-hoc notion of error.
- Experiments show the method works for different correctness notions, including mathematical factuality and constraint/property satisfaction.
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