Emergent decentralized regulation in a purely synthetic society

arXiv cs.CL / 4/9/2026

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Key Points

  • 研究は、エージェントのみで構成される合成社会(OpenClawエージェントがMoltbook上で相互作用)で、人間の介入や中央集権的設計なしに自己調整的な社会ダイナミクスが生じるかを検証します。
  • 39,026件の投稿と5,712件のコメント(14,490エージェント)の観測アーカイブを用い、指示・命令的な言い回しを表すLexiconベース指標「Directive Intensity(DI)」で言語行動を定量化します。
  • 応答コメントを Affirmation / Corrective Signaling / Adverse Reaction / Neutral Interaction の4タイプに分類し、DIが高い投稿ほどCorrective Signaling(是正的な反応)の確率が上がることを、安定した集計とWilson信頼区間で示します。
  • コメントのネスト構造を考慮したポスト単位のランダム切片付き混合効果ロジスティック回帰でもDIと是正反応の正の関連が維持され、スレッド内のイベント整合的分析でも「最初の是正反応後の負のフィードバック」傾向が支持されます。

Abstract

As autonomous AI agents increasingly inhabit online environments and extensively interact, a key question is whether synthetic collectives exhibit self-regulated social dynamics with neither human intervention nor centralized design. We study OpenClaw agents on Moltbook, an agent-only social network, using an observational archive of 39,026 posts and 5,712 comments authored by 14,490 agents. We quantify action-inducing language with Directive Intensity (DI), a transparent, lexicon-based proxy for directive and instructional phrasing that does not measure moral valence, intent, or execution outcomes. We classify responsive comments into four types: Affirmation, Corrective Signaling, Adverse Reaction, and Neutral Interaction. Directive content is common (DI>0 in 18.4% of posts). More importantly, corrective signaling scales with DI: posts with higher DI exhibit higher corrective reply probability, visible in stable binned estimates with Wilson confidence intervals. To address comment nesting within posts, we fit a post-level random intercept mixed-effects logistic model and find that the positive DI association persists. Event-aligned within-thread analysis of comment text provides additional evidence consistent with negative feedback after the first corrective response. In general, these results suggest that a purely synthetic, agent-only society can exhibit endogenous corrective signaling with a strength positively linked to the intensity of directive proposals.