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最先端大規模言語モデルにおける政治的説得リスクのベンチマーク

arXiv cs.CL / 2026/3/11

Ideas & Deep AnalysisModels & Research

要点

  • 本研究は、Anthropic、OpenAI、Google、xAIの7つの最先端大規模言語モデル(LLM)を対象に、19,000名以上の参加者を含む2つの大規模調査実験を用いて政治的説得能力を評価した。
  • 結果は、これらのLLMが一般的な政治キャンペーン広告よりも個人を説得する能力で優れていることを示しており、モデル間で効果に大きな差異が見られる。Claudeモデルが最も説得力が高く、Grokは最も低い。
  • 情報ベースのプロンプトが説得に与える影響はモデル依存的であり、ClaudeとGrokでは説得力を高める一方で、GPTモデルでは大幅に低下させる。
  • 研究者らは、LLMが用いる説得戦略を特定・評価するための新しいデータ駆動型かつモデル非依存的な会話分析手法を開発した。
  • 本研究は最先端LLMに伴う政治的説得リスクのベンチマークを行い、複数モデルに適用可能な比較リスク評価フレームワークを提供する。

Computer Science > Computation and Language

arXiv:2603.09884 (cs)
[Submitted on 10 Mar 2026]

Title:Benchmarking Political Persuasion Risks Across Frontier Large Language Models

View a PDF of the paper titled Benchmarking Political Persuasion Risks Across Frontier Large Language Models, by Zhongren Chen and 2 other authors
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Abstract:Concerns persist regarding the capacity of Large Language Models (LLMs) to sway political views. Although prior research has claimed that LLMs are not more persuasive than standard political campaign practices, the recent rise of frontier models warrants further study. In two survey experiments (N=19,145) across bipartisan issues and stances, we evaluate seven state-of-the-art LLMs developed by Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and xAI. We find that LLMs outperform standard campaign advertisements, with heterogeneity in performance across models. Specifically, Claude models exhibit the highest persuasiveness, while Grok exhibits the lowest. The results are robust across issues and stances. Moreover, in contrast to the findings in Hackenburg et al. (2025b) and Lin et al. (2025) that information-based prompts boost persuasiveness, we find that the effectiveness of information-based prompts is model-dependent: they increase the persuasiveness of Claude and Grok while substantially reducing that of GPT. We introduce a data-driven and strategy-agnostic LLM-assisted conversation analysis approach to identify and assess underlying persuasive strategies. Our work benchmarks the persuasive risks of frontier models and provides a framework for cross-model comparative risk assessment.
Subjects: Computation and Language (cs.CL); Computers and Society (cs.CY)
Cite as: arXiv:2603.09884 [cs.CL]
  (or arXiv:2603.09884v1 [cs.CL] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2603.09884
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arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Submission history

From: Joshua Kalla [view email]
[v1] Tue, 10 Mar 2026 16:42:05 UTC (662 KB)
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