Robust Route Planning for Sidewalk Delivery Robots

arXiv cs.RO / 3/30/2026

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Key Points

  • The paper studies robust route planning for sidewalk delivery robots operating among pedestrians and obstacles, where travel times can be highly uncertain.
  • It models travel-time uncertainty by coupling robust optimization with simulation that reproduces realistic interactions among robots, pedestrians, and obstacles.
  • Three uncertainty-set derivation approaches (budgeted, ellipsoidal, and SVC-based) are evaluated alongside a distributionally robust shortest-path (DRSP) method using ambiguity sets over travel-time distributions.
  • Using a case study with pedestrian patterns from Stockholm’s city center, the authors find robust routing improves operational reliability versus a conventional shortest-path baseline, with ellipsoidal and DRSP methods achieving better average and worst-case delay.
  • Sensitivity analysis indicates robust strategies are especially beneficial for wider, slower, and more conservative robots, particularly under adverse weather and high pedestrian congestion.

Abstract

Sidewalk delivery robots are a promising solution for last-mile freight distribution. Yet, they operate in dynamic environments characterized by pedestrian flows and potential obstacles, which make travel times highly uncertain and can significantly affect their efficiency. This study addresses the robust route planning problem for sidewalk robots by explicitly accounting for travel time uncertainty generated through simulated interactions between robots, pedestrians, and obstacles. Robust optimization is integrated with simulation to reproduce the effect of obstacles and pedestrian flows and generate realistic travel times. Three different approaches to derive uncertainty sets are investigated, including budgeted, ellipsoidal, and support vector clustering (SVC)-based methods, together with a distributionally robust shortest path (DRSP) method based on ambiguity sets that model uncertainty in travel-time distributions. A realistic case study reproducing pedestrian patterns in Stockholm's city center is used to evaluate the efficiency of robust routing across various robot designs and environmental conditions. Results show that, when compared to a conventional shortest path (SP) method, robust routing significantly enhances operational reliability under variable sidewalk conditions. The ellipsoidal and DRSP approaches outperform the other methods in terms of average and worst-case delay. Sensitivity analyses reveal that robust approaches are higher for sidewalk delivery robots that are wider, slower, and more conservative in their navigation behaviors, especially in adverse weather and high pedestrian congestion scenarios.