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Probabilistic Hysteresis Factor Prediction for Electric Vehicle Batteries with Graphite Anodes Containing Silicon

arXiv cs.LG / 3/11/2026

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Key Points

  • This research addresses the challenge of accurately estimating state-of-charge (SoC) in electric vehicle batteries with silicon-graphite anodes, which exhibit pronounced voltage hysteresis.
  • A novel data-driven probabilistic approach is proposed to predict hysteresis factors while incorporating uncertainty quantification and computational efficiency.
  • The study includes a data harmonization framework to standardize heterogeneous driving cycle data across different operating conditions.
  • Various statistical and deep learning models are evaluated for performance and generalizability, including zero-shot prediction and fine-tuning on unseen vehicle models.
  • The findings contribute to improved SoC estimation methods, accelerating the adoption of higher energy density silicon-graphite anode battery technologies in electric vehicles.

Computer Science > Machine Learning

arXiv:2603.09103 (cs)
[Submitted on 10 Mar 2026]

Title:Probabilistic Hysteresis Factor Prediction for Electric Vehicle Batteries with Graphite Anodes Containing Silicon

View a PDF of the paper titled Probabilistic Hysteresis Factor Prediction for Electric Vehicle Batteries with Graphite Anodes Containing Silicon, by Runyao Yu and Viviana Kleine and Philipp Gromotka and Thomas Rudolf and Adrian Eisenmann and Gautham Ram Chandra Mouli and Peter Palensky and Jochen L. Cremer
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Abstract:Batteries with silicon-graphite-based anodes, which offer higher energy density and improved charging performance, introduce pronounced voltage hysteresis, making state-of-charge (SoC) estimation particularly challenging. Existing approaches to modeling hysteresis rely on exhaustive high-fidelity tests or focus on conventional graphite-based lithium-ion batteries, without considering uncertainty quantification or computational constraints. This work introduces a data-driven approach for probabilistic hysteresis factor prediction, with a particular emphasis on applications involving silicon-graphite anode-based batteries. A data harmonization framework is proposed to standardize heterogeneous driving cycles across varying operating conditions. Statistical learning and deep learning models are applied to assess performance in predicting the hysteresis factor with uncertainties while considering computational efficiency. Extensive experiments are conducted to evaluate the generalizability of the optimal model configuration in unseen vehicle models through retraining, zero-shot prediction, fine-tuning, and joint training. By addressing key challenges in SoC estimation, this research facilitates the adoption of advanced battery technologies. A summary page is available at: this https URL
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Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG); Signal Processing (eess.SP)
Cite as: arXiv:2603.09103 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2603.09103v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2603.09103
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arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Submission history

From: Runyao Yu [view email]
[v1] Tue, 10 Mar 2026 02:27:28 UTC (890 KB)
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